Everton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 0
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
EVE
0 - 1
PNE
70%
17%
12%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1921 |
EVE
5 - 1
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 1
EVE
46%
26%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 3
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 1
WBA
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
WBA
2 - 0
BUR
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
MUD
0 - 3
BUR
42%
28%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |