Everton vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1915 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1915 |
EVE
5 - 3
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
EVE
4 - 0
NOT
71%
18%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1915 |
EVE
3 - 4
OLD
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
BBU
2 - 1
EVE
72%
17%
12%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
BUR
3 - 0
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
BOL
3 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1915 |
BUR
2 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
LIV
3 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1915 |
BUR
2 - 1
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |