Everton vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 1
EVE
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
47%
23%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 0
EVE
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 3
BRI
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
BOL
1 - 2
BRI
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
BRI
2 - 2
BBU
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
MUD
2 - 1
BRI
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
BRI
3 - 0
NTT
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |