Everton vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
LIV
1 - 2
EVE
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
1 - 2
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 2
NOT
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
1 - 0
PNE
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
BRI
0 - 0
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1906 |
SUN
3 - 3
BRI
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
BRI
3 - 0
BBU
63%
19%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
STO
0 - 3
BRI
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 2
BRI
66%
17%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |