Everton vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
15.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1936 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1935 |
DER
3 - 3
EVE
62%
18%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1935 |
EVE
4 - 3
SHW
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1935 |
BIR
4 - 2
EVE
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1935 |
EVE
0 - 0
LEE
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1936 |
BOL
0 - 2
DER
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1936 |
BOL
4 - 0
OPA
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1935 |
BRE
4 - 0
BOL
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1935 |
WOL
3 - 3
BOL
73%
14%
13%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1935 |
BOL
0 - 3
WOL
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |