Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
TOT
1 - 2
EVE
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
EVE
0 - 0
WBA
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1983 |
IPS
3 - 0
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
COV
1 - 1
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
EVE
0 - 1
WHU
57%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
BIR
1 - 0
IPS
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
WOL
1 - 1
BIR
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1983 |
BIR
1 - 0
STO
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
BIR
2 - 0
WAT
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1983 |
NOT
2 - 1
BIR
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |