Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
WHU
2 - 0
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
EVE
0 - 0
WBA
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
ARS
1 - 1
EVE
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
EVE
0 - 5
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
SOU
3 - 2
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1982 |
BUR
3 - 2
BIR
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
BIR
2 - 1
SUN
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
MAC
0 - 0
BIR
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
NOT
0 - 0
BIR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
BIR
2 - 1
WBA
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |