Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
EVE
2 - 1
SUN
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
LEI
0 - 1
EVE
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
NOR
2 - 1
EVE
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
EVE
2 - 2
TOT
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
BIR
2 - 1
TOT
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
COV
2 - 1
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1980 |
BIR
2 - 0
NTT
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
BIR
1 - 0
CRY
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
MID
1 - 2
BIR
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |