Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
LEE
1 - 0
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
MAC
0 - 0
EVE
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1979 |
EVE
3 - 3
COV
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 0
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
BIR
1 - 1
WBA
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1979 |
IPS
3 - 0
BIR
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
BIR
1 - 1
WOL
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
BIR
2 - 2
SOU
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |