Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
DER
0 - 1
EVE
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
EVE
4 - 4
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
69%
18%
12%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
EVE
1 - 0
BRI
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
QPR
1 - 5
EVE
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
BIR
2 - 1
WOL
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
BIR
3 - 1
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
IPS
5 - 2
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
BIR
1 - 1
COV
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |