Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1965 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
SHE
0 - 0
EVE
31%
25%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 1
BUR
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1964 |
EVE
3 - 2
WBA
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
TOT
2 - 2
EVE
57%
20%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
BIR
1 - 1
SHE
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
BUR
2 - 0
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
BIR
1 - 0
TOT
28%
22%
50%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1964 |
WHU
2 - 1
BIR
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1964 |
BIR
2 - 1
WHU
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |