Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
EVE
3 - 0
WHU
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
BBU
1 - 1
EVE
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 1
EVE
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1962 |
EVE
2 - 2
BPO
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
TOT
3 - 1
EVE
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
BIR
3 - 0
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
MAC
1 - 4
BIR
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1962 |
WHU
2 - 2
BIR
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1962 |
BIR
2 - 1
BBU
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1962 |
BPO
1 - 0
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |