Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 0
EVE
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
EVE
1 - 0
SHW
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
NEW
0 - 0
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
EVE
2 - 2
OPA
47%
23%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
WBA
3 - 0
EVE
60%
21%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 0
ZAG
86%
9%
6%
|
82 | 12 | 70 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
BIR
0 - 0
TOT
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
SUN
0 - 1
BIR
54%
21%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
BIR
4 - 2
CHA
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
MAC
3 - 1
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |