Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 0
BPO
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 2
WBA
59%
21%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 0
EVE
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
STO
1 - 0
EVE
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
MUD
0 - 2
BIR
79%
13%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
BPO
1 - 1
BIR
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
FUL
0 - 0
BIR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |