Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 5
OPA
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
MID
1 - 0
EVE
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
OPA
4 - 0
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
EVE
3 - 3
NEW
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 0
EVE
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
MID
1 - 1
BIR
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
BIR
1 - 0
CHL
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 0
MID
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
WOL
2 - 2
BIR
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 0
TOT
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |