Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
SHW
0 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1934 |
EVE
5 - 2
BBU
62%
18%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1934 |
MID
3 - 2
EVE
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1934 |
EVE
1 - 2
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1934 |
STO
3 - 2
EVE
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
BIR
0 - 4
HUR
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1934 |
SUN
5 - 1
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1934 |
BIR
2 - 1
TOT
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1934 |
PNE
0 - 1
BIR
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1934 |
BIR
3 - 2
GRI
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |