Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
WBA
5 - 0
EVE
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
EVE
2 - 0
WBA
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
EVE
2 - 0
SHE
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1923 |
SHE
4 - 0
EVE
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
EVE
3 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
NOT
1 - 1
BIR
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
BIR
0 - 0
NOT
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
BIR
2 - 0
WHU
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1923 |
WHU
4 - 1
BIR
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
HUR
1 - 0
BIR
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |