Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
BIR
1 - 1
EVE
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
EVE
1 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
SUN
3 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
EVE
0 - 1
WBA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
WBA
0 - 0
EVE
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
BIR
1 - 1
EVE
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
BIR
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
BIR
3 - 2
ARS
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
BIR
2 - 0
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |