Everton vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
SUN
1 - 0
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 0
BBU
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
STO
2 - 0
EVE
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
EVE
3 - 0
MUD
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 3
EVE
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 1
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 0
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1906 |
BBU
1 - 0
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 1
STO
77%
14%
10%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
MUD
2 - 1
BIR
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |