Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
TOT
0 - 0
EVE
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
MUD
2 - 2
EVE
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
EVE
2 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
EVE
1 - 0
ASV
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
SHW
2 - 5
EVE
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
ASV
2 - 0
DER
68%
21%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
ASV
1 - 0
BBU
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
SHW
2 - 1
ASV
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
EVE
1 - 0
ASV
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
64%
22%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |