Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
SHW
2 - 5
EVE
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1996 |
EVE
1 - 1
LIV
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
QPR
3 - 1
EVE
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
EVE
3 - 0
BOL
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
BBU
0 - 3
EVE
59%
22%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
64%
22%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
ASV
1 - 1
WHU
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
NEW
1 - 0
ASV
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
ASV
3 - 0
SOU
62%
23%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
CHL
1 - 2
ASV
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |