Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1983 |
EVE
2 - 0
WHU
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
MUD
0 - 1
EVE
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1983 |
WHU
2 - 2
EVE
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
EVE
0 - 2
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 0
WHU
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1983 |
WBA
1 - 2
ASV
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
NOT
5 - 2
ASV
38%
26%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
ASV
3 - 1
LEI
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 1
STO
71%
17%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |