Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1981 |
EVE
2 - 3
IPS
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
EVE
3 - 1
SWA
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1981 |
NOT
2 - 2
EVE
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
EVE
1 - 2
SUN
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1981 |
SWA
2 - 1
ASV
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
40%
27%
34%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1981 |
WIG
1 - 2
ASV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
ASV
3 - 1
NTT
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
MID
3 - 3
ASV
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |