Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
QPR
5 - 0
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
WHU
0 - 1
EVE
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 0
EVE
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
48%
28%
25%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
ARS
2 - 2
EVE
46%
28%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
ASV
1 - 1
TOT
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
MID
0 - 0
ASV
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
ASV
0 - 1
ANT
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
ASV
2 - 1
BIR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
WOL
0 - 0
ASV
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |