Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
SUN
4 - 0
EVE
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
EVE
1 - 1
WOL
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
TOT
3 - 0
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
EVE
0 - 0
SHW
63%
20%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
EVE
0 - 2
BPO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
ASV
3 - 3
OPA
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 1
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
ASV
2 - 1
SHW
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1951 |
ASV
1 - 0
WOL
44%
23%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |