Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
CHA
2 - 1
EVE
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
EVE
0 - 0
PNE
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
EVE
6 - 2
SUN
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
CHL
0 - 2
EVE
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1939 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1939 |
LEE
2 - 0
ASV
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1939 |
ASV
1 - 3
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1939 |
ASV
2 - 2
WOL
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1939 |
WOL
2 - 1
ASV
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1939 |
CHA
1 - 0
ASV
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |