Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
EVE
2 - 2
BBU
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
MID
1 - 2
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1930 |
ARS
4 - 0
EVE
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1930 |
MAC
1 - 2
EVE
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
EVE
1 - 1
OPA
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
ASV
1 - 2
HUR
65%
18%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
LEI
4 - 3
ASV
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1930 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1930 |
ASV
1 - 2
BUR
65%
18%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
SUN
4 - 1
ASV
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |