Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
BOL
1 - 0
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 2
MAC
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 1
ASV
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1921 |
ASV
5 - 3
SHE
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
SHE
2 - 3
ASV
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |