Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 3
EVE
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 2
WBA
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
ARS
1 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
EVE
2 - 4
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
WBA
1 - 2
EVE
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 3
EVE
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
ASV
0 - 2
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 3
ASV
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 4
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
4 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |