Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
EVE
4 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
SHW
1 - 0
EVE
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
EVE
1 - 1
SHW
68%
18%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
EVE
2 - 0
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
BUR
0 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
ASV
2 - 2
BUR
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
OLD
0 - 3
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |