Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
BOL
0 - 1
EVE
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
COV
0 - 2
EVE
37%
24%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
SHE
3 - 0
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1910 |
EVE
2 - 0
SUN
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
ASV
5 - 0
SHW
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
BRA
1 - 2
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
ASV
7 - 1
MUD
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1910 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1910 |
ASV
3 - 2
SUN
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |