Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
BCF
3 - 0
EVE
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
MAC
4 - 2
EVE
51%
23%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
EVE
0 - 0
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 1
EVE
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
ASV
2 - 3
BIR
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
ASV
1 - 1
BBU
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
NTT
2 - 2
ASV
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
4 - 0
NTT
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |