Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 2
NOT
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
1 - 0
PNE
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
9 - 1
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
MID
2 - 2
EVE
38%
24%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
ASV
4 - 1
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1906 |
ASV
1 - 0
STO
83%
10%
6%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
SUN
2 - 1
ASV
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
STO
0 - 2
ASV
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
ASV
4 - 2
BBU
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |