Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
REA
2 - 1
EVE
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 1
SUN
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FUL
2 - 2
EVE
44%
26%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 2
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
18%
22%
61%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ARS
2 - 0
MPL
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ARS
5 - 2
TOT
59%
22%
19%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 3
FUL
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
S04
2 - 2
ARS
33%
24%
43%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |