Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
MID
2 - 1
EVE
50%
27%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1980 |
EVE
2 - 0
STO
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
EVE
1 - 1
COV
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
MUD
0 - 0
EVE
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
EVE
2 - 1
IPS
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
ARS
1 - 1
CRY
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
GÖT
0 - 0
ARS
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
MAC
0 - 3
ARS
43%
27%
31%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1980 |
ARS
0 - 0
BRI
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
WAT
1 - 2
ARS
14%
22%
64%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |