Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
NEW
2 - 3
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
LEI
2 - 2
EVE
59%
19%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 1
EVE
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
EVE
3 - 1
SUN
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 3
EVE
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 1
ARS
58%
20%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
BOL
0 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
ARS
4 - 0
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEE
67%
18%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 2
ARS
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |