Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1950 |
STO
2 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1950 |
EVE
0 - 3
WBA
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 2
MID
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1950 |
MID
2 - 1
ARS
48%
24%
29%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1950 |
ARS
3 - 0
SHW
77%
14%
10%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 2
TOT
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |