Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
CHA
2 - 0
EVE
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 0
TOT
63%
20%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
WOL
1 - 1
EVE
73%
16%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 2
OPA
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 0
DER
60%
20%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 0
BUR
78%
14%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
BIR
2 - 1
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
76%
15%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 0
HUR
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |