Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
CHA
2 - 3
EVE
53%
22%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1948 |
EVE
2 - 1
MID
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1948 |
WOL
2 - 4
EVE
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 1
FUL
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
FUL
1 - 1
EVE
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
ARS
5 - 2
WOL
56%
21%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1948 |
ASV
4 - 2
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 0
BUR
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
STO
0 - 0
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 0
PNE
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |