Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1946 |
BBU
4 - 1
EVE
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1946 |
ASV
0 - 1
EVE
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
EVE
0 - 2
BRE
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
BBU
2 - 2
EVE
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1939 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
52%
22%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1946 |
ARS
2 - 2
SUN
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1946 |
ARS
1 - 3
BBU
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
WOL
6 - 1
ARS
67%
18%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
ARS
5 - 2
SUN
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1939 |
ARS
1 - 0
BBU
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |