Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
EVE
7 - 1
BBU
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
MID
2 - 0
EVE
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1933 |
LIV
3 - 2
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1933 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1933 |
MAC
2 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
BBU
2 - 2
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1933 |
ARS
6 - 0
MID
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1933 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1933 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |