Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1929 |
SUN
2 - 2
EVE
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
OPA
1 - 4
EVE
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
EVE
2 - 3
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1929 |
LEE
2 - 1
EVE
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
DER
2 - 1
EVE
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOL
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1929 |
ASV
5 - 2
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
SUN
0 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
ARS
6 - 1
BUR
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1929 |
ARS
3 - 2
MAC
58%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |