Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
EVE
1 - 0
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
HUR
3 - 1
EVE
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
EVE
2 - 6
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
BIR
1 - 3
EVE
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1928 |
SHW
1 - 0
EVE
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
ARS
2 - 0
HUR
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1928 |
DER
0 - 0
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
MAC
4 - 1
ARS
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
ARS
0 - 0
BIR
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
OPA
2 - 0
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |