Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1926 |
LEE
1 - 3
EVE
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 3
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1926 |
EVE
0 - 0
HUR
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1926 |
BBU
3 - 3
EVE
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1926 |
EVE
2 - 2
BCF
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1926 |
ARS
6 - 2
SHW
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 2
WHU
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1926 |
BUR
2 - 0
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 2
NEW
57%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1926 |
LEE
4 - 1
ARS
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |