Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
BIR
1 - 1
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 1
BIR
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 3
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
MUD
2 - 1
EVE
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
NEW
3 - 0
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
ARS
0 - 1
MAC
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 0
ARS
68%
19%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 0
PNE
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1921 |
SHE
4 - 1
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
PNE
3 - 2
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |