Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
PNE
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
4 - 0
EVE
45%
24%
30%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
SWI
2 - 1
EVE
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
BRA
1 - 0
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 2
WBA
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
OLD
0 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
ARS
2 - 0
MAC
62%
20%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1912 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |