Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
BRI
0 - 2
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 4
EVE
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 0
SHW
58%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
1 - 0
NOT
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1908 |
NOT
2 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 4
EVE
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |