Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
47%
23%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 0
EVE
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
EVE
4 - 1
BBU
75%
15%
9%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 3
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 1
ARS
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 0
BBU
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 2
ARS
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
ARS
3 - 1
NTT
62%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |