Everton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1907 |
BBU
2 - 1
EVE
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
BIR
1 - 0
EVE
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
4 - 1
SUN
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 1
WBA
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
2 - 3
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 0
BBU
69%
17%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHW
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1907 |
BOL
3 - 0
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |