Everton vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
EVE
4 - 0
LEI
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BHA
0 - 1
EVE
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
EVE
3 - 2
TOT
21%
23%
57%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
EVE
0 - 1
ASV
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
EVE
2 - 0
POS
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BOU
0 - 2
LIV
13%
18%
70%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BOU
5 - 0
NTT
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NEW
1 - 4
BOU
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
CHL
2 - 2
BOU
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BOU
5 - 1
WBA
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |